International Markets Update

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The American economy is gaining momentum and shrugging off the weakness in the rest of the world with greater employment opportunities and persiste.....

Executive Summary

  1. The American economy is gaining momentum and shrugging off the weakness in the rest of the world with greater employment opportunities and persistent declines in the cost of gasoline.
  2. The data-dependent Federal Reserve’s first move to normalize policy can no longer be considered a “considerable time” away. The probability of a rate hike in the first half of next year has increased measurably.
  3. Economic growth in the Eurozone is stagnating and inflation continuing to drift lower suggesting more monetary accommodation will likely be required from the ECB.
  4. UK house-price growth eased as demand softened and a further cooling is likely into 2015.
  5. Moody’s cut Japan’s credit rating one level to A1, highlighting the challenges facing Prime Minister Abe as he tries to fuel inflation and growth.
  6. Both industrial production and inflation in China came in weaker than anticipated reflecting the impact of waning industrial demand, especially as the economy continues to move away from investment and toward consumer driven growth.
  7. High inflation, low oil prices, and demand-sapping interest rates make for a Russian economy that is likely to shrink considerably over the next year.

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International Markets Update

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